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TFF Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (TFFP)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2024 showed operational progress with TFF TAC while narrowing losses: revenue rose to $0.65M and net loss improved to $4.48M; cash was $4.39M as of June 30, 2024 .
  • Results beat third‑party consensus: EPS of −$1.22 vs −$1.70 and revenue of $0.65M vs $0.15M; no S&P Global estimates available, so comparisons use Zacks/Nasdaq data; both were significant beats driven by SBIR grant revenue and lower G&A spending .
  • Clinical momentum: 13 patients enrolled in Phase 2 TFF TAC; 9/9 patients completing 12 weeks chose to remain on therapy; biomarker and DSA data supportive of immunosuppression adequacy; one protocol-related dose-too-low episode resolved after reverting to oral tacrolimus .
  • Funding remains tight and a key stock narrative driver: $4.8M financing in May and engagement of Outcome Capital to pursue partnerships/licensing; management acknowledges going‑concern risk and plans to end TFF TAC Phase 2 enrollment in 2H24 and next‑study design in collaboration with investigators and regulators .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Positive Phase 2 signals for TFF TAC: “growing body of positive safety, efficacy and confirmatory biomarker data… points towards TFF TAC becoming a significant new advancement” (CEO) .
  • Patient adherence and exposure: 9/9 patients chose long‑term extension; ~20% of oral dose achieved >80% oral trough levels, suggesting lower systemic burden at adequate immunosuppression .
  • Biomarkers supported mechanism: 6.5‑fold reduction in abnormally expressed rejection‑related gene sets; abnormal expression fell from 23% to 3.6% after 12 weeks on TFF TAC; DSA remained negative in first 8 patients .

What Went Wrong

  • One dose‑setting misstep: a patient transitioned to a dose “too low” (trough >50% below protocol minimum) experienced Grade A1 acute rejection; resolved after discontinuation and return to oral tacrolimus .
  • Cash runway remains constrained: cash $4.39M at quarter end; management disclosed substantial doubt about going concern without additional capital .
  • External financing costs and fair‑value mark: decrease in fair value of Augmenta note (−$0.56M) pressured other income, partially offsetting operating improvements .

Financial Results

Income Statement and Operating Metrics (Quarterly)

MetricQ2 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($USD)$333,351 $114,328 $203,273 $650,222
Net Loss ($USD)$(5,020,206) $(4,762,414) $(5,735,144) $(4,479,221)
EPS (basic & diluted, $)$(3.47) $(2.01) $(2.40) $(1.22)
R&D Expense ($USD)$2,681,898 $2,974,158 $3,555,862 $2,588,316
G&A Expense ($USD)$2,670,363 $2,508,876 $2,438,304 $2,024,473
Total Operating Expenses ($USD)$5,352,261 $5,483,034 $5,994,166 $4,612,789
Net Loss Margin (%)−1506% −4166% −2823% −688.9%

Notes: Net loss margin computed from cited revenue and net loss values (citations reference source figures).

Balance Sheet Highlights

MetricDec 31, 2023Mar 31, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Cash and Equivalents ($USD)$5,478,113 $3,211,930 $4,387,198
Total Assets ($USD)$12,027,316 $9,186,550 $9,495,456
Total Liabilities ($USD)$2,460,282 $3,882,126 $3,618,140
Stockholders’ Equity ($USD)$9,567,034 $5,304,424 $5,877,316

Estimates vs. Actual (Q2 2024)

MetricActualConsensusBeat/Miss
EPS ($)−$1.22 −$1.70 Beat +$0.48
Revenue ($USD)$650,222 $150,000 Beat +$500,222

Note: S&P Global estimates unavailable for TFFP; comparisons use Zacks/Nasdaq/Moomoo third‑party consensus sources.

KPIs (Clinical/Operational)

KPIQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
TFF TAC patients enrolled8 transitioned successfully Ongoing enrollment; 4/4 remained on therapy 13 enrolled
Patients completing 12 weeks choosing extension4/4 4/4 9/9 (100%)
TFF TAC dose vs oral & trough exposures~1/6 oral dose; ~2/3 oral trough exposures ~20% oral dose; >80% oral trough levels
Biomarker change (rejection‑related gene sets)Normalization signal reported 6.5‑fold reduction; abnormal gene sets from 23% → 3.6% (−85%)
DSA statusDSA negative at baseline and remained negative in first 8 patients
SafetyNo mortality or discontinuations due to AEs No mortality reported Majority AEs grade ≤2; kidney function maintained; one protocol dose‑too‑low rejection episode resolved

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Financial revenue/earningsFY/Q2 2024None providedNone providedMaintained (no guidance)
TFF TAC Phase 2 enrollment2H 2024Not previously specifiedPlan to end enrollment in 2H24New operational timeline
Next TFF TAC study designFall 2024Not previously specifiedFinalizing design; regulatory update planned later in fallNew operational milestone

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q2 2024 earnings call transcript was available in the document catalog; themes synthesized from the Q2 press release and 10‑Q.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2023 & Q1 2024)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
Clinical efficacy/safety (TFF TAC)8/8 transitioned; 4/4 extension; favorable safety 13 enrolled; 9/9 extension; biomarker reduction; DSA negative Strengthening evidence
Regulatory pathwayFDA feedback expected in Q2 (TFF TAC) In communication with regulators; update in fall Ongoing engagement
R&D prioritizationPrioritized TFF TAC; exploring options for TFF VORI Continued TFF TAC focus; VORI de‑emphasized Consistent prioritization
Funding/partnerships$1.2M and $4.8M financings Outcome Capital engaged for partnerships/licensing Active BD efforts
Government/academic collaborationsSBIR grant; AAAM/ISHLT data DARPA PPB program; Cleveland Clinic universal flu vaccines preclinical Expanding collaborations
Going concernRisk disclosed Substantial doubt persists without new capital Ongoing risk

Management Commentary

  • “Over the last several months, we have amassed a growing body of positive safety, efficacy and confirmatory biomarker data… that points towards TFF TAC becoming a significant new advancement for the prevention of lung transplant rejection.” – Harlan Weisman, M.D., CEO .
  • “We continue to make significant progress in demonstrating that Tacrolimus Inhalation Powder (TFF TAC) has the potential to become an important new advancement in transplant medicine… we submitted a briefing book… to the FDA.” – Harlan Weisman, CEO (Q1) .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q2 2024 earnings call transcript was available; no Q&A highlights could be verified from primary sources [ListDocuments returned 0 transcripts; see above]. Management’s clarifications came via the press release and 10‑Q: plan to finalize next study design and provide a regulatory update later in the fall and intent to end Phase 2 enrollment in 2H 2024 .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for TFFP (SPGI mapping error encountered).
  • Third‑party consensus indicates EPS −$1.70 and revenue $0.15M; actual EPS −$1.22 and revenue $0.65M represented material beats, implying upside vs expectations likely driven by SBIR grant revenue and lower G&A .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Clinical evidence is building for TFF TAC (adherence, biomarker reduction, DSA negativity), supporting the narrative for a lower‑dose lung‑targeted immunosuppression approach; next regulatory update in fall is a key catalyst .
  • Financial beats vs third‑party consensus (EPS and revenue) highlight near‑term cost discipline and grant revenue, but net loss margins remain highly negative due to the development‑stage profile; sustainable funding is critical .
  • Funding runway and going‑concern disclosure keep balance sheet risk front‑and‑center; Outcome Capital engagement signals pursuit of partnerships/licensing that could de‑risk the path forward .
  • DARPA and Cleveland Clinic collaborations broaden optionality around TFF’s platform beyond TAC, potentially aiding future non‑dilutive capital or strategic interest .
  • Near‑term trading setups likely hinge on: (1) regulatory feedback timing/stance, (2) partnership/licensing announcements, (3) additional financing steps, and (4) continued Phase 2 readouts/biomarker updates .
  • Medium‑term thesis depends on converting Phase 2 signals into a registrational pathway for TFF TAC with adequate capital and BD support; monitoring dose‑setting rigor (to avoid under‑dosing events) and reproducibility of biomarkers across a larger cohort is essential .

Citations:
All financials, KPIs, and commentary are sourced from the Q2 2024 8‑K press release and exhibits , the Q2 2024 10‑Q , and prior 8‑Ks for Q1 2024 and Q4 2023 . Estimates comparisons use third‑party consensus given S&P Global unavailability .